In Ukraine, which has been under the occupation of Russia for more than three weeks, many people lost their lives due to war during this period , while many people had to leave their country and seek refuge in other countries as refugees to save their lives. .
A new study has once again revealed what kind of effects the war in Ukraine might have in the future. The research revealed what effects the loss of life in the war and the large number of people who fled the country in search of life safety could have on the Ukrainian population .
The Ukrainian population will decrease by a third in the next twenty years
Possible deaths caused by Russian occupation in Ukraine, refugees and abroad In the light of the long-term possibilities , St. Andrews University conducted a series of population projections. The impact of previous armed conflicts on Ukraine’s population and an analysis of its current demographics are reviewed.
As a result of these projections, the researchers concluded that the population of Ukraine could decrease by a third over the next two decades as a result of the Russian occupation. However, the researchers said that the longer the war lasts, the older the population of Ukraine , in truth proportional to the ongoing large-scale migration. Given the fertility rate, which has been in a steady decline since the 1990s, according to the research group, this is highly likely to have a dramatic long-term impact on the Ukrainian demographic.
To be specific “The invasion of Russia will not only result in enormous human and economic costs in Ukraine at the moment, but will also bring along long-term demographic repercussions” . ), Professor Hill Kulu from the School of Geography and Sustainable Development at the University of St. Andrews noted , “Our analysis predicts that the Ukrainian population is declining and aging and these processes will continue over the next two decades ” .
Hill, , however, states that “Due to long-term political and economic instability, not only are refugees less likely to return , but also young adults and families in Ukraine who eventually leave the country . may decide to leave ” .